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This post originally appeared at Climate Progress.
Lately I’ve been writing a lot about carbon pollution and climate change, about how to really focus our efforts on reducing emissions, and about how to square our need to live with a warming world with our need for economic growth. I’ve written much less about how specific action — in this case, what we can do right now to get into the low-carbon future — can get a bit dull in the long term.
This is why I was pretty excited to see this chart, from researchers at the MIT Joint Program on the Science and Policy of Global Change:
It shows three different approaches to a carbon-free world, over the next several centuries:
No new carbon emissions (100 percent success rate).
100 percent success rate). All emissions cut to zero.
All emissions cut to zero. Some emissions and lots of wind and solar (a failure rate of 50 percent).
As Tom Rutherfurd of the Climate Progress blog points out, those aren’t odds for a bet. I wouldn’t bet against no new emissions, if they were coming from somewhere else. But we would have to proceed with extreme caution in a lot of places and make lots of expensive decisions. Given the right circumstances, it could be safe and reasonable to work on a 100 percent success rate over a few centuries. But, as the MIT researchers point out, “energy efficiency is critical to the 100% scenario, so we would still need to make vast improvements in industrial energy efficiency.” And, at least for the near future, the wind and solar/battery approach seems to be the most realistic — though a bit unpredictable and dangerous. (More on that in a later post.)
The researchers say that their three sets of numbers are “all plausible and balanced”, but they also point out that the middle ground “is the most realistic over the next century.” They estimate that a 50/50 success rate would have a “business-as-usual” energy economy cutting emissions some 30 percent over 2005 levels, leading to the
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Comments are closed.Q:
IntelliJ IDEA – How do I tell the JVM to use a newer java.rmi.server.ref?
I’m struggling to get my IntelliJ installation to use the newest version of Java’s RMI server classes. The closest I’ve come is using the Java 7 class loader, but then I can’t update my legacy code without having a bunch of classes that don’t work.
Any advice?
A:
There is an open issue on the JetBrains tracker for this.
In short, you cannot do this. It is a limitation of the VM. It’s not the sort of thing that can be changed via the IDE (though you could, of course, configure the class loader in the plugin config).
The fix is to use the older version of Java. 🙂
Urban Greens Grow Up
Urban Greens Grow Up in New York City
“Because in New York, as in many big cities, a person doesn’t become an old person until sometime after he or she is dead.”
One of the defining features of the New York City landscape is its diversity: a microcosm of the world around it. The city is heavily influenced by Latin and African cultures, and its streets are crammed with shop owners of Latin American origin and the original African American residents. Hispanic and African Americans make up a significant portion of the city’s population. In the 1980s, New York was home to more than 100,000 Puerto Rican families and to some of the biggest Caribbean bars in the United States, like the legendary popular hangouts of the Bronx in New York.
The influence of the Latin culture has not prevented the decline of the city
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Rio de Janeiro is a vibrant and cosmopolitan city, where it seems a person could step out in the morning and, within minutes, into a bustling tropical party. The city is the biggest and most important in the largest and most important state in Brazil, and the capital of the country. It is highly urbanized and is a city of extraordinary beauty, with vistas of green and beautiful rainforest, mountains and beaches.
Lagos City is a sprawling metropolis and the largest city in Nigeria, both economically and in terms of sheer population. When people think of Lagos, it is either about urban planning, as in the case of the Murtala Muhammed International Airport (MMIA) or the new Lagos property developments. It is also about the expensive residential and commercial areas of Victoria Island, the vibrant and well-connected megacity of Ikeja, the sprawling commercial centre of Apapa, and the government headquarters in Victoria Island.
East London is the most cosmopolitan area of the United Kingdom. It is one of the most affluent, populous and developed areas in England with a good mixture of cultural diversity and high quality of life.
What to Do in Rio de Janeiro
Rio de Janeiro is the perfect place to spend time with a partner or a friend.
Breathe in the fresh tropical air, soak up the sun, and enjoy the relaxed pace of life. See the beautiful sandy beaches, admire the outstanding sporting facilities, and explore the beautiful and imposing mountains.
Sports – There are so many activities available and such a wide range in terms of level of difficulty. You can choose the activities you want to do.
Sailing – If you want to spend a relaxing day on the water, try sailing.
Walking – While visiting the city, you can walk around the city or at the beach.
Spas – There are so many spa centers in Rio de Janeiro. These are perfect for an indulgent day with your partner, giving you a chance to relax and rest.
Shopping – Most places are open 24 hours a day and some are open around the clock, including shopping malls.
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